Rospotrebnadzor and the Ministry of Health of the Krasnodar Territory deny mass diseases. An outbreak of intestinal infection at Black Sea resorts

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A Russian tourist appealed to Vladimir Putin with a request to take control of the situation at the Black Sea resorts of the Russian Federation due to the increasing number of cases of intestinal infection after swimming in the sea.

Even a resident of Norilsk (the most polluted city on the planet) called the sanitary situation in the Black Sea resorts “catastrophic.” Larisa Yangol, the author of the petition, writes that “having been in Adler with a small child for only two days and having swam in the sea, she and her child ended up in an “infectious disease” crowded with vacationers with small children.

As Kommersant reports, since mid-August, numerous vacationers have been publishing messages on social networks about cases of intestinal infection and rotavirus in Sochi and Anapa, as well as their reports on visits to overcrowded hospitals. At the same time, the Ministry of Health of the Krasnodar Territory and Rospotrebnadzor deny massive outbreaks of infection. The regional prosecutor's office announced the closure of the beach in Novorossiysk due to the dangerous proximity to the sewerage system.

The last weeks of the school holidays were overshadowed by numerous reports of outbreaks of intestinal infection and rotavirus at resorts on the Black Sea coast of the Krasnodar Territory. Messages are published on social networks by vacationers themselves, as a result of which some users who booked tickets and vacations on the Black Sea for the last days of August or the velvet season abandon their plans.

Petition “Stop intestinal infection in the Black Sea!” on change.org, by Monday, August 29, it had collected more than 700 signatures. The initiator of the appeal to the President of Russia, Larisa Yangol from Norilsk, described the sanitary situation on the Black Sea coast as catastrophic: “Having been in Adler with a small child for only two days and having swam in the sea, instead of resting, we got an intestinal infection and a trip to the infectious diseases hospital, which turned out to be overcrowded with vacationers, sick The kids are even lying in the corridors, there’s not enough space!” - writes Larisa Yangol.

The BlogSochi resource published a message from Angela Alekseenko, who complained that her child in Adler contracted an intestinal infection just by sitting on the beach. “60 children a night are admitted to the hospital with one diagnosis - “intestinal infection”, all the children are in the arms of their parents, they are constantly vomiting, they are exhausted and cannot stand on their feet,” the woman writes. “Poor doctors who do nothing they have time, the hospitals are overcrowded.” Users of social networks from different cities of Russia in their comments to these messages confirm that cases of intestinal diseases, especially in children, are not uncommon on the Black Sea coast.

The editor-in-chief of the BlogSochi resource, Alexander Valov, believes that the sanitary and epidemiological situation in Sochi may worsen due to shortcomings in the commissioning of Olympic infrastructure facilities (sewage treatment plants are not operating at full capacity), as well as due to the massive construction of mini-hotels and housing that is connected to the sewer system with violations or is not connected at all. In this regard, garbage and sewage end up in streams and rivers, and then into the sea, notes Mr. Valov.

According to the Ministry of Resorts of the Krasnodar Territory, the congestion of Black Sea beaches in the high season of 2016 exceeded 100%, however, regulatory structures deny widespread cases of violation of sanitary standards in recreation areas. The regional administration of Rospotrebnadzor reported to Kommersant that cases of group and outbreak morbidity associated with the water factor of infection transmission (swimming in the sea, rivers, use of recreational areas) have not been registered in the region.

This information was confirmed to Kommersant by the Ministry of Health of the Krasnodar Territory. As for the state of sea water, according to Rospotrebnadzor research, the proportion of water samples that do not meet hygienic standards for microbiological indicators was 0.8%; according to sanitary and chemical indicators - 0.4%.

According to the regional prosecutor's office, in the summer of 2016 there were three cases of suspension of beach operations due to violations of operating standards: in the Central region of Sochi, the Lastochka and Svetlyachok beaches were closed (the tenants at the time of the inspection did not provide the territory with a shower and toilet, now the violations have been eliminated ).

In Novorossiysk, the court closed the Neptune beach, since it is located in close proximity to sewerage facilities, and studies of sea water showed that permissible pollution standards were exceeded.

https://www.site/2016-08-30/krasnodarskiy_kray_na_grani_ekologicheskoy_katastrofy_iz_za_kishechnoy_infekcii

“I’m completely shocked: why is everyone silent?”

Black Sea resorts in Russia are overwhelmed by intestinal infections

There is an outbreak of intestinal infection in the Krasnodar region. Tourists complain that the sea is polluted by sewage and algae, and report overcrowded hospitals. Local authorities do not acknowledge the problem: official comments say that there are no mass cases of disease. Meanwhile, the collection of signatures has begun on the Internet for a petition in which Russians ask President Vladimir Putin to save the Russian resort from an environmental disaster.

“It turns out you can’t go to the sea”

“The situation is simply catastrophic! Having been in Adler with a small child for only two days and having swam in the sea, instead of resting, we got an intestinal infection and a trip to the infectious diseases hospital on Kirova 50, which turned out to be overcrowded with vacationers, sick children are even lying in the corridors, there are not enough places! Everyone has the same story: they swam in Adler’s Black Sea, where sewage is dumped and where E. coli is infested! People come from all over the country and spend their holidays in the infectious diseases department. Little children and their parents lie under IVs and do not get off the potties! And this is in post-Olympic Sochi, where they have done everything for the guests of the Olympics, but cannot create conditions for a safe holiday for their children!” says the petition, which was published on the website Change.org by Norilsk resident Larisa Yangol. With her petition, she is trying to attract the attention of President Vladimir Putin and the chief sanitary doctor of the Russian Federation, whom Yangol asks to “stop the intestinal infection in the Black Sea.” So far, only 778 people have supported the petition, but the number of signatories is growing.

Social networks and blogs are full of stories from tourists about the epidemic of intestinal infection in major Black Sea resorts: Anapa, Sochi, Gelendzhik and others.

In the public domain you can find hundreds of similar messages about how tourists, after swimming in the sea, suffered from diarrhea and vomiting, waited for hours for an ambulance and spent most of their vacation in the hospital. Mostly parents of preschool children complained about their ruined vacation.

The situation with the incidence of intestinal infections has been observed on the coast for the third year in a row

Perhaps the post of Angela Alekseenko from Petrozavodsk is most widely circulated on social networks. She is indignant that, for the sake of profit, the authorities, doctors and the media are suppressing information about the epidemic on the Black Sea coast. She was vacationing in Sochi with her two-year-old son. After going to the sea, his temperature rose, diarrhea and vomiting began. The baby and his mother were taken by ambulance to the emergency room of the infectious diseases hospital, where they had to wait three hours to see a doctor in the company of other vacationers with similar problems.

“A bunch of parents, all the children in their arms, they are constantly vomiting, they are exhausted and cannot stand on their feet. Poor doctors who don’t have time to do anything try to be kind and understanding. But tired as hell. And today is the fourth day in the hospital, periodically I cry, in complete shock, why everyone is silent,” writes Angela Alekseenko.

According to Alekseenko, 60 children are admitted to the hospital every day with one diagnosis - an intestinal infection.

“It turns out you can’t go to the sea, it’s dirty, children get poisoned, their small, fragile body breaks down! And everyone is silent! Hospitals are overcrowded, people are lying in the corridors, I myself see this nightmare. It’s dirty, stuffy, there’s no refrigerator or microwave in the entire hospital,” the woman is indignant. The ambulance doctors told her that this situation had been happening since the beginning of summer. “Why are you silent? “Then you won’t come to us,” they answer. This is fine? All summer it’s been such nonsense, poor kids are poisoned, someone is vomiting blood, and everyone is sneezing because it’s money!” Alekseenko is indignant. Her post was republished by the media and bloggers, but later for unknown reasons it was deleted from Facebook. the site tried to contact Angela Alekseenko through a social network, but at the time of preparing the material, she did not respond to a personal message.

“They called back from the ambulance and said that the doctors would not come.”

Tourists faced similar problems throughout the summer in other resort towns in the Krasnodar Territory. As Sverdlovsk resident Denis Stepanchenko, who was vacationing with his family in the village of Vityazevo near Anapa, told the website, the family spent 10 of the 14 days of their vacation in their room due to an intestinal infection that struck the children. Denis Stepanchenko with his wife and two sons (one is 7 years old, the other is 11 months old) arrived in Vityazevo on July 29.

On the second day of rest, after swimming in the sea, the youngest son began vomiting, diarrhea and the temperature rose to 38.5 degrees. Later, the same symptoms began in the eldest son. “At first we treated ourselves, but on the third day we asked the hotel to call an ambulance.” Later, the ambulance called us back and said that the doctors would not come to us, since the child’s temperature was relatively low, and they had a lot of calls even without us,” says the Ural resident. According to him, there is always a queue of about twenty people at pharmacies.

“Everyone has the same symptoms, everyone buys the same medications. The pharmacy understands the situation and doubles the prices,” says the Ural resident.

According to Denis, during his vacation, the ambulance came to the hotel where he was vacationing with his family two or three times every day. “They took small children with their mothers to the hospital. Moreover, everyone began to get sick after visiting the sea,” he says. Denis notes that after his experience, he is unlikely to risk going to the Russian Black Sea coast again. According to him, local residents say that the situation with the widespread incidence of intestinal infection has been observed on the coast for the third year in a row and always at the end of the holiday season. This is also confirmed by user posts on social networks.

The flight and two-week holiday in a four-star all-inclusive hotel cost Denis Stepanichenko’s family 220 thousand rubles. The family spent another 10 thousand rubles on buying medicines at local pharmacies.

A similar story happened in Gelendzhik with a resident of Yekaterinburg, Ekaterina Shipitsyna, who was vacationing at the resort with three small children, her husband and mother-in-law. “We came for four weeks, rented an apartment, cooked food ourselves, carefully washed all the fruits and vegetables, followed all the rules of hygiene, but nevertheless we got sick,” the mother of many children told the site. According to her, the three-year-old twins fell ill first, and then the one-year-old son. Later, the adults also got sick in turn. The symptoms are the same for everyone: vomiting, weakness, diarrhea, high fever. By the end of the vacation, the children managed to get sick twice.

According to Ekaterina, local residents consider the main cause of illness to be dirty sea water, in which at the end of summer, due to the heat, algae bloom and bacteria multiply. In addition, old-timers point out the lack of centralized sewerage.

Sochi City Hall: the cause of illness is the carelessness of vacationers

More than 3.3 million tourists vacationed in Sochi from January to July 2016, according to an official statement on the municipality’s website. The beaches are 100% occupied. At the same time, the administration’s health department refused to tell the site over the phone how many people were hospitalized with intestinal infections this season. the site sent an official request to the press service of the city administration, but there is no response yet.

At the same time, the city health department emphasizes that over the past six months no cases of mass infectious diseases have been registered in Sochi. According to doctors, in most cases the cause of illness is the carelessness of vacationers themselves, who do not comply with basic sanitary and epidemiological standards: for example, they buy food from street stalls and wash fruit directly in the sea. Officials have even developed a guide for tourists on how to maintain good health during vacation, however, apparently, it does not always save vacationers.

Official reports from the Sochi administration say that the water in the sea meets all necessary standards. According to the press service of the mayor's office, citing specialists from Rospotrebnadzor, this summer the water even became cleaner by about 10% compared to 2015.

The city administration notes that water samples are taken in the resort’s water area twice a week. “Since the beginning of the summer period, about one and a half thousand water samples have been taken. All of them complied with the established standards, and the maximum permissible concentration was not exceeded,” the press service of the municipality notes.

Also, messages regularly appear on the website of the Sochi City Hall regarding the improvement of local sewerage. One of them says that in 2015 in Sochi “almost 12 thousand unsewered objects were identified, at the beginning of the summer of 2016 there were 2,571 of them left.” Work in this direction continues, according to the city administration.

Ecologist: Sewage and fecal waters flow into the sea

Environmentalists point to a problem with sewerage in the Krasnodar region. “I have been on business trips to Sochi and its suburbs many times and have seen with my own eyes the sewage flowing into the sea. This situation is typical for Russia and for the villages of Sochi. Sewage and fecal waters flow into the sea. The runoff ends up in local rivers, which flow into the sea. People often swim on the beaches where the runoff comes out,” says Vitaly Bezrukov, head of the My Planet charitable environmental foundation.

According to him, the sanitary situation at the resort is also deteriorating due to the construction of mini-hotels on the site where previously there were only small private houses. “For example, there used to be a one-story house in which, say, four people lived; there was relatively little waste. Then a five-story mini-hotel was built on this site. Accordingly, the volume of sewage drains increases significantly, and they continue to be discharged into the sea,” explains the ecologist. In addition, according to him, household chemicals (phosphorus-containing washing powders, detergents, etc.) enter the sea with these wastewater, which gives rise to the bloom of blue-green algae, which in turn contributes to the proliferation of pathogenic bacteria.

This year, resorts on the Black Sea coast are extremely popular. These are not only the resorts of the Krasnodar Territory and Crimea, but also sunny Bulgaria. Pleasant climate, beautiful scenery, warm and gentle sea, reasonable prices are what attracts tourists. Even during the difficult economic situation in the country, they are not ready to say goodbye to their vacation, which is why they are looking for budget alternatives to fashionable resorts. Not everything is as rosy at the resorts of the Krasnodar region as travel agencies and operators present it. Their goal is to sell the tour and attract the attention of vacationers. They will never take responsibility for your vacation, so you need to approach the choice of a resort more demandingly and carefully, since, except for yourself, no one can provide the most pleasant, comfortable and safe conditions.

Shocking news

Infection detected in the Black Sea! This news literally blew up the entire world community. Every day, local residents go to medical institutions with complaints of intestinal infections. It became obvious that the water in the Black Sea is contaminated with microorganisms that cause a similar reaction. in the region is really unfavorable. All local residents and vacationers want to receive complete and reliable information about what is happening, to protect themselves and their loved ones if possible.

Let's understand the reasons

Intestinal infection in the Black Sea is not uncommon. On the one hand, its presence is explained by completely objective reasons. The water temperature, when reaching an anomalous level of 29 degrees Celsius, caused the active proliferation of quite dangerous algae. The geographical position of the sea can hardly be called the most successful, and all because the circulation of water in it occurs very slowly. In fact, this is a closed reservoir, so pathogenic microorganisms, having appeared in it, only increase their power. If this reason is called the main one, then, perhaps, every year it will appear in the Black Sea. But over the past three years, it has really been causing discomfort to vacationers.

There is another opinion, to which an increasing number of experts are inclined. So, intestinal infection in the Black Sea becomes a consequence of excessive activity and the huge appetite of local officials, who are trying to squeeze the maximum out of the resorts at the very peak of the season. What does it mean? The fact is that the beaches of Adler are overcrowded with people; it is simply impossible to swim normally in the sea. Dirt on the beach, garbage and bottles in the sea are normal for resort areas. Is this not the reason for the emergence and active spread of infection? Moreover, this year tourists noted the presence of waste and sewage water in the sea. The inaction of local authorities at a time when hospitals are simply overflowing with patients is striking. If you go to a medical facility in a timely manner, the infection can be overcome, but your vacation will definitely be ruined. It is unlikely that tourists who have gone through all the hell of local hospitals will want to come back here again.

Talking about infection

Let's try to answer the question what kind of infection is in the Black Sea in August. Many people call it rotavirus. So, this is an infection caused by rotaviruses. The disease is characterized by an acute onset, vomiting, weakness, and increased body temperature.

There are several ways to become infected, so it has a fairly large source of spread, often resembling an entire epidemic, which is why it becomes even more dangerous. Adults and children can become infected on the beach while sunbathing and swimming in sea water. Infection also occurs through common objects and crowded places. In hot conditions, the infection begins to spread even more rapidly. Most often, bacteria affect the mucous membrane of the small intestine. Of course, when the first symptoms of the disease are detected, you should immediately contact a specialist and begin treatment in order to shorten the duration of the disease and prevent the development of complications.

How the situation really is

At the height of the season, all hospitals in Sochi and Adler are overcrowded with patients who have contracted the infection. The situation is truly critical; some tourists decided to abandon the trip altogether out of fear for their health. This position is correct, especially if there are small children in the family. Agree, going to the coast at the height of the season, where an epidemic is raging, is the height of recklessness.

Tourists' opinions

Tourists in the resorts of the Krasnodar Territory complain about the state of the water in the sea, its pollution by sewage and wastewater. There are quite a few stories on social networks describing how, in just two days at sea, children are stricken with rotavirus infections and, instead of the long-awaited vacation, go on a not-so-pleasant tour of local hospitals. All stories are the same.

About hospitals

All vacationers in the Krasnodar Territory infected with rotavirus are sent to Regional Hospital No. 4. If you believe the information about it, it is designed to serve 110 thousand patients, and in the season up to a million vacationers and tourists. The scale is impressive and amazing. This is probably an excellent medical center, with an impressive territory and equipped with modern technology.

In fact, the hospital has about 350 beds, only two infectious diseases departments designed for 110 patients. You certainly can’t count on an attentive and hospitable attitude towards patients, much less qualified medical care. Hospital staff complain about a lack of specialists, staff and a huge number of infected patients. In the conditions of unsanitary conditions that prevail in a medical institution, it is not possible to recover, or even improve your condition. It is for this reason that many tourists prefer to be treated with their own means.

Authorities' response

Rospotrebnadzor could not stand aside and answered everyone’s question whether there is So, the expert commission reported that the state of water in the Black Sea is constantly monitored, nothing was found, so there is not the slightest reason for concern. So why are the city's hospitals literally overcrowded with people at the height of the season? Rospotrebnadzor is confident that this is not an infection in the Black Sea at all, but banal food poisoning of a widespread nature. According to him, during high air temperatures it is simply impossible to avoid the spread of intestinal infection, and vacationers often visit catering establishments on the beach or resort without observing basic hygiene requirements. They often buy sweets, fruits and food from vendors on the beach.

The situation is aggravated by the increasing heat. Under the influence of direct active sunlight, it is quite easy to get, which can lead to vomiting, increased body temperature and general weakness.

What to do in case of defeat

Is the Black Sea as dangerous as the media say it is? How to protect yourself and your children from infection? These questions are actually very important.

If you notice the first symptoms of infection, you must immediately seek help from medical specialists, undergo a comprehensive examination to determine the exact cause of what is happening and begin treatment. Before the doctor arrives, it is better to place the patient in a cool place and give him to drink as much fluid as possible to prevent dehydration. Of course, this should be a liquid at room temperature, and in no case ice water from the refrigerator.

Trying to prevent defeat

Doctors strongly recommend that parents do not take children under 3 years of age to other climate zones. A sharp change in climate can have an extremely negative impact on a child’s body that is not yet strong enough, making it vulnerable to various infections, including rotavirus. Today you can see how families with very tiny children spend the whole day on a crowded beach, trying to get the most out of their vacation. It is clear that in such conditions the probability of infection or getting the same heat stroke is quite high. Children on the beach are at risk.

When going on vacation, especially with small children, be more careful when choosing a hotel, give preference exclusively to rooms with air conditioning, choose only trusted cafes for your meals, or cook yourself.

If you have chosen resorts on the Black Sea coast, you should not visit them during the high season. Even if the water in the Black Sea is not contaminated, the likelihood of infection and infection does not decrease due to mass gatherings of people, overcrowding of beaches and cafes. Remember that you are primarily responsible for your health and the health of your children, so you should not expose yourself to even minimal risks - it is better to give up rest altogether.

Situation in Krasnodar region is rapidly approaching an environmental catastrophe. Russians vacationing there are stating this en masse. Tourists complain that the sea is polluted by sewage and algae, and talk about overcrowded hospitals, federal media write.

On social networks and blogs, tourists talk about intestinal infection epidemics in major resorts of the Black Sea: Anapa, Sochi, Gelendzhik and others. Hundreds of similar reports have been published about how tourists, after swimming in the sea, suffered from diarrhea and vomiting, waited for hours for an ambulance and spent most of their vacation in the hospital. Mostly parents of young children complained about their ruined vacation.

At the same time, local authorities do not recognize the problem: official comments say that there are no mass cases of disease. And on the Internet they began to collect signatures for a petition: Russians are asking President Vladimir Putin to save the Russian resort from an environmental disaster.

Official response Rospotrebnadzor according to September 3 as follows:

“Over the past 24 hours, 87 cases of infectious diseases were registered on the Azov-Black Sea coast, including those with a preliminary diagnosis: acute intestinal infections of unspecified etiology - 56, ARVI - 31 cases of the disease, the average daily recorded rates of infectious morbidity according to preliminary diagnoses do not exceed the daily average long-term levels".

More than 3.3 million tourists vacationed in Sochi from January to July 2016, according to an official statement on the municipality’s website. At the same time, the beaches were 100% busy.

We decided to find out about the situation on the Black Sea coast from our fellow countryman who was there for a month. Let us remind you that Pavel Gedz recently returned from . According to him, there can be no talk of any epidemic:

— The problem is that you don’t have to put everything in your mouth: from the shelves, from the stores. I myself saw how a family came to the beach with half a watermelon. They went for a swim in the sea, came out of the sea and again continued to eat watermelon, without visiting the shower. I wouldn’t be surprised that after some time this family ended up in a famous place. In this regard, I was more careful, always rinsed myself, and ate in exclusively designated places - cafes and canteens. The latter, by the way, are located right on the coast, and the prices there are normal. Lunch can be taken with first, second, compote and salad for around 200-300 rubles. Just like everyone else, being at sea, every now and then he caught water, now with his mouth, now with his nose. Sometimes I even swallowed it, but no virus took root in me, or it doesn’t exist at all.

Paul advised people to wash their hands often and watch what they eat.

“I have never bought food from hand, from traveling merchants. No churchkhella, no boiled corn, no anything! I do not advise tourists to immediately rush to local food. You come from another region. What is normal and familiar for locals may be sad for visitors; everyone’s body is different. Be healthy!

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The Black Sea is poisoned by a poisonous bacterium. The environmental situation is so catastrophic that hundreds of local residents and tourists turn to doctors every day with complaints of intestinal infection.

On the one hand, everything can be explained by natural causes - dangerous algae began to multiply due to the fact that the water temperature reached an anomalous 29 degrees, and, given the location of the sea, the circulation of water in it is extremely slow, in fact it is a closed reservoir. But experts also name other factors: for example, the excessive activity of officials who, without the necessary base, began to squeeze the maximum out of domestic resorts.

She has few pleasant impressions from her summer holidays: they all fit into a few photographs. 14-year-old Sonya was relaxing on the Black Sea, but this year it was not too gentle with her. After just a couple of swims, she came down with an acute infection. According to the girl, the water was warm and dirty, jellyfish and even bottles were floating in it.

Similar situations happen everywhere. Hospitals in resort towns are packed to capacity: there is only one diagnosis - acute intestinal infection. Many of those who decided to spend their long-awaited vacation on the beaches of Adler, Anapa or Gelendzhik literally find themselves in hospital beds on the second day.

“The situation is simply catastrophic: after swimming in the sea, instead of relaxing, we got an intestinal infection and a trip to an infectious diseases hospital, which turned out to be overcrowded with vacationers. Everyone has the same story: they swam in the Adler Black Sea, where sewage is dumped and is infested with E. coli,” the petition says.

The situation in resort towns really raises concerns: even health officials do not hide: hospital beds are filled exclusively with vacationers.

On the Sochi beach, as always, there is nowhere to lay a towel. The velvet season is in full swing, and the flow of tourists does not stop. Even these frightening numbers don’t stop holidaymakers: the water temperature is 27 degrees, and two weeks ago it almost reached 30. For the Black Sea, this is an exorbitant figure. However, doctors report: you can swim in such water. And vacationers are happy to follow these recommendations. It’s just that after swimming like this, tourists often have to exchange beach beds for beds in infectious diseases departments.

Another problem typical of coastal towns is the irresponsibility of local residents and businessmen. Numerous hotels, restaurants, shops and residential buildings are simply not connected to the central sewer system. The authorities, of course, are fighting this, but, nevertheless, not everyone follows their instructions. In many resort areas, tourists literally swim in their own excrement.

“Very often with my own eyes I see those sewage drains that either flow into the sea with rivers or with stormwater. That is, this is due to the fact that there are a lot of mini-hotels, a lot of houses that are rented out and many of them simply have their own sewerage system. they simply dump it,” says ecologist Vitaly Bezrukov.

And this is a problem that is faced not only in Russia. For example, for the Bulgarians the Black Sea has long turned into a landfill. The bodies of baby dolphins are regularly found on the beaches of the Gold Coast, and no one even tries to disguise the pipes through which waste flows into the sea. In addition, temperatures here are breaking records.

The sea water temperature on the Varna coast is 24 degrees and this does not have a very good effect on the marine ecosystem. Bacteria multiply very easily in water. In addition, large companies very often break the law by dumping waste into the seas around the world. In particular, in the Black Sea, near industrial cities.

Now reports of an epidemic of intestinal infection in the Black Sea resorts are coming from almost all countries that have access to it. And if the situation cannot be corrected in the near future, there is a risk of facing an environmental disaster on a regional scale.