Chinese chaos. The authorities are hiding the fact that the crew of the Olkhon ferry was beaten. “Temporarily Russian” Baikal is being developed by the Chinese. “It was a nice village. The Chinese were on Olkhon.

The small village of Listvyanka, located on the coast Lake Baikal, became the center of attention of the Russian media. This started after Baikal was sold to the Chinese. Many newspapers claim that Chinese investors are going to buy the land and make the area a province of China.

Land lease

It is known that back in 2015, one of the Chinese companies located in the city of Zhejiang entered into an agreement regarding the lease of Baikal lands. The agreement envisaged the sale of land for 49 years in advance, with an area of ​​115,000 hectares, which the Chinese plan to use for their own purposes - for growing rice and other agricultural products.

According to one of the project managers of the Chinese side, all details about the benefits for all partners will be decided after the technical side of the issue is established. However, after the first investment of about 28,000,000 US dollars, intensive deforestation began. All wood was imported in full to China, and deforestation work continues to this day.

In addition, Chinese investors demanded that Putin provide contractual cooperation with a Russian oil company that produces oil in Siberia. After which, Kremlin leaders approved the right to use Siberian lands for the study of fossil resources. And according to local media reports, the Chinese are buying up territories for future development and they do this several decades in advance.

Water rental

The main task of the Chinese Baikal project is the installation of a water pipeline on the lake, through Mongolian lands, and then through the Gobi Desert. The final destination is the capital of Gansu province - the Chinese suburb of Lanzhou. This project was included as the main point of the 2015 agreement.

The project was developed by Chinese specialists from the Lanzhou District Planning Institute. From a theoretical point of view, this development is quite realistic and no difficulties should arise.

For China, this is a very important project that will help solve the problem of fresh water shortage in the country. The Chinese intend to use about seven percent of water resources, which is an unacceptable figure given that China accounts for 20% of the world's population.

Beijing investors plan to take leadership positions in market relations that involve sales drinking water, transported from Lake Baikal. In future prospects, they are going to pump out about 2,000,000 tons of water per year. And the trademark “Well of the Earth” has already been patented in many European countries in two languages.


Putin expects to receive a good percentage from the sale of water, claiming that the funds received will be used to restore and develop the infrastructure of the Siberian regions. However, the fact that the Chinese are deliberately buying up land in Siberia suggests the opposite.

Results

Many Russians and residents of Baikal settlements express their dissatisfaction that the lands of Siberia were sold to China. Some are confident that they were given away without thinking, and argue that the Chinese deliberately and openly want to buy up Russian lands, which were once supposedly the territory of the great Chinese dynasty.

According to many journalists from the Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper, in addition to water and forests, the PRC plans to invest in the following activities:

  • processing industry;
  • oil production;
  • international tourism.

From an environmental point of view, enormous damage could be caused to the forests and coast of Lake Baikal. This is facilitated by the constant destruction of forests, the laying of pipelines and other communications. These places are the habitat of many rare animals and birds, which may disappear during construction and progress. However, neither the Kremlin nor the Chinese government cares about this. If Chinese investors buy most of the land, it will be almost impossible to control the situation.

Local authorities convince residents that the resources consumed by Chinese Baikal will not cause significant damage, since the rates of deforestation and fresh water transportation do not exceed environmental standards. And a share of the profit will pay for the damage and part of the funds will be invested in restoring the living resources of Siberia, especially the taiga. Moreover, the authorities no longer plan to sell their territories and are doing everything possible to preserve the environment.

According to Nikita Isaev, the party leader, “ New Russia“, Russian politicians reasonably assess the situation on Lake Baikal and will not allow an environmental crisis. Moreover, the Chinese promised not to compensate for the damage caused, but also to contribute to other Siberian projects that are very beneficial for Russia.

Subjective observations of a Baikal guide-photographer.
Although now I don’t live on Baikal itself, I am there 6-7 months a year. Working as a guide, on my own photo expeditions, just visiting, on tours with my guest photographers. So, I'm stewing in this soup.

The situation with the tourism business on Lake Baikal is very strange.

Several problems converged into one point. Chinese tourist expansion, an attempt by law to reduce the water protection zone of Lake Baikal, the explosive growth of anthropogenic pressure on small areas, problems with toilets in winter on the ice and throughout the year on the shore, when the most beautiful grottoes of Olkhon are littered to the extreme, traditional garbage, inspections tourist centers with their subsequent closure, incomprehensible “attacks” on Russian guides by law enforcement officers.

Petitions are signed and sent to various government agencies. structure of the letter, complaints are written to the prosecutor's office. But the chaos is only gaining momentum.

According to the Chinese.

Three years ago, the number Chinese tourists was small. Of course, due to their national characteristics, groups of Chinese stood out because of the noise, commotion and dust they made. In 2015-16 Chinese tour operators began to actively enter the Baikal tourism industry. They turned to Irkutsk and other Russian tour operators with tour orders. Many began to rub their hands, saying, this is happiness. Now there will be a flow of money, we will live gloriously and richly. But you need to know the psychology of the Chinese. They are strictly focused on obtaining maximum benefit for themselves. They will be friends with you if you are irreplaceable at some stage of the business process. Indispensable for now. Due to your hellish efficiency and ability to learn, over time your Chinese partner will exchange you for one of his own, whom he will train and teach everything that you know. They watch, observe, assign their people who learn from you, making your participation in the business process no longer necessary. And at one fine moment you are in flight. That's it, you are nothing to your Chinese partner-brother, with whom you were almost already bosom friends, making plans and enjoying the prospects. Now your place is taken by a Chinese.

This is what happened with Russian tour operators. At one point they found themselves overboard. Having quickly gotten used to it, the Chinese created their own travel agencies (through dummies and executive chairmen). These companies have their own Chinese personnel, often working illegally in Russia, their own buses, their own guides, their own hotels and tourist centers, their own ships, their own shops for tourists. Our southern neighbors have a lot of money. And they are ready to invest it in what is profitable now. And in Siberia, the tourism business on Lake Baikal is profitable. By the way, it is worth noting that this situation also exists in other tourist-attractive places. Now the Chinese are sending their Cossacks to Kola Peninsula. There is already a stream of groups. For now through Russian tour operators. But this is for now...

And naturally, almost all the money remains in China. The Chinese travel in groups. The percentage of individual tourists from China is extremely small. They buy tours in China. The money that tourists spend in stores (furs, cosmetics, jewelry, honey and its components, souvenirs) also goes to China. Believe me, a Chinese businessman knows how to minimize costs on foreign territory and direct cash flow home.

An example from my practice. In the fall of 2016, Irkutsk tour operators received a flood of calls from the Chinese. We urgently want to order photo tours for Chinese groups of photographers! Tour operators began to pester photographers working in similar programs around Lake Baikal. They called me too. And I admit, I fell for the bait. I made programs, sent them and waited for calls that it was time to pack my things and go as a photo guide with Chinese groups. But everyone was lost. The Chinese put together high-quality and detailed programs and brought their own groups with Chinese “photo guides”. What a Chinese photo tour looks like is a separate story. Thank God that the Chinese still do not have enough capacity to properly implement the burnt programs. Well, to hell with them. All the same, making a high-quality and effective photo tour on Lake Baikal is not an easy task. For those who are not in the know, this is unrealistic. But the Chinese already know how to drag groups of 12 people in formation, led by the “chief photographer,” lining them up on a spot in the direction of who knows where.

At the same time, neither tour operators nor tourists themselves are concerned about the state of the environment, garbage and other “nonsense”. Also, Chinese tourists are not interested in the history or culture and traditions of the place they visit (well, not only the Chinese are guilty of this). “Must have” photos, contemplating the landscapes, screaming a song at dawn on a shaman, getting drunk in the evening at a hotel or camp site. Although, in principle, they are ordinary tourists. Only very noisy and waste-generating.

By the way, about the flexibility of Chinese business. Due to the huge flow of Chinese during the Baikal ice season, they have a lot of bells and whistles for such trips. Very high-quality “ice melts” for shoes, chemical warmers for smartphones and cameras and a lot of other little things. They are great at this! Although every time I came to Shamanka and other places this year, I took with me in a garbage bag a dozen or two used heating pads, which after use are simply thrown onto the ground or ice.

Why is there such demand for the Baikal destination in China? Why is the Chinese tourist flow turning into a very aggressive expansion?
There are several reasons. The main one is ideological. The Chinese, for the most part, consider Baikal to be their northern sacred sea. And that's it. In the fall, I did a tour for a photographer from Israel, and our program included a trip on a steam locomotive along the Circum-Baikal Railway. There were three of us. Opposite us, in fourth place, was a young Chinese boy. He spent almost the entire trip (and the trip along the Circum-Baikal Railway lasts more than 10 hours) sitting and reading some kind of book. Well, I went to the toilet, got something to eat, and went out in the parking lot to look down at the carriage. That's all. Already in front of the port of Baikal we asked him. Isn’t he really interested in nature (the golden Baikal autumn floated past the windows of the carriage), beautiful views? He replied no. His parents bought him a tour to Lake Baikal. Because he, like any normal Chinese, must visit Great Wall and on Baikal. "Must have" and nothing personal.

Transport accessibility and low cost (by Chinese standards) of tours to Lake Baikal. There are flights to Irkutsk and Ulan-Ude from China and Mongolia (many groups come from Mongolia), there is a railway connection. Chinese expansion takes place in those places where roads lead. I will not say anything for Buryatia, but Irkutsk region these are Listvyanka, Circum-Baikal Railway, Olkhon. For some reason, there are almost no Chinese tourists on the mainland of the Small Sea, except perhaps “vagrants” who came from the Island as part of an excursion. The construction of a normal road to Bolshaya Goloustnoye also opened this place to the Chinese. Those. where there is a road to Baikal - expect Chinese tourists, Chinese hotels and camp sites.
Lack of legislative regulation of the tourist flow to Lake Baikal. Yes, specially protected natural areas strictly limit the possibility of visiting them. Especially in large groups of tourists. And the whole flow flows into those places where there are no such restrictions. I am not calling for the opening of protected areas. It is necessary to regulate the flow of tourists to other territories of Lake Baikal. The state must decide. Baikal is unique natural object, requiring security or a tourist site for scooping up money.

In places with huge tourist flows (in the small tract of Uzury on Olkhon, in one day almost 100 UAZ loaves of bread were counted at the same time. That’s at least 700 people at the same time in Uzury, in the Haga-Yaman Bay and the surrounding grottoes!) there are no toilets. All the shit ends up in the grottoes (for which they go). Yellow spots on the snow, used heating pads, and other garbage do not add beauty and do not bring any benefit to Lake Baikal.

Early morning at the office of the national park on Olkhon. The first UAZ vehicles arrive to receive permission to visit Khoboy.

Yes, organizing toilets and garbage collection and removal will solve the problem a little.
The main thing, without which toilets and waste collection areas are ineffective, is a special service that monitors the order and frequency of tourist routes. For example, as in US national parks, there are Visitor Use Assistants, guides, rangers, and support workers. We have wonderful guides on Lake Baikal, but they work with isolated groups, independently or from tour operators. And with protected areas there is often not just interaction, but also mutual understanding. Our guides are more interested in preserving Lake Baikal than anyone else.

What else is going on lately? In the fall, a large-scale audit of tourist centers and hotels was carried out by various supervisory authorities. Various orders were issued, some of the bases were closed or promised to be closed in the near future. Lawsuits were filed.
The most interesting thing is that this movement did not affect large hotels and tourist centers, incl. and Chinese. Strange?

In devastation winter season, law enforcement suddenly showed a passionate interest in Russian guides. They stopped buses and checked the docks for groups. Moreover. Often this was done by traffic police officers. IN international airport Irkutsk, guides meeting their groups with signs, the airport security service took them to a separate room, where they held “conversations”, more like an interrogation. But the Chinese guides (almost all of whom were illegal immigrants) were not touched. Why?

The fuss about changing water security zone Baikal? For what? Legalize tourist centers and private buildings and plots that have already been built illegally and illegally? For whom?

In the fall, with the proposal of the GDP, the movement to build a road on Olkhon began. It is clear that this is a lot of money that needs and can be cut. I won’t say anything about the expected quality of the road. But is an asphalt road from the crossing to Khuzhir really necessary? What will be more beneficial or harmful? What damage will the construction itself cause to the nature of Olkhon? Now there is a road, a terrible stone ridge. It at least somehow deters motorist tourists. Will asphalt add hundreds, if not thousands of cars to the tourist flow on Olkhon?

For the current gravel road to be in good condition, it is enough to simply maintain it. Sprinkle and grade regularly. And without huge ones cash costs, which could be reasonably used to create a normally functioning general tourist infrastructure on Olkhon. For the organization of trails and routes, for the creation of appropriate guide and ranger services, for the organization of toilets and the removal of waste to the mainland. In fact, this travel money can be spent with great benefit. But something is wrong again in the Danish kingdom.

In fact, it seems (not only to me, but also to many of my fellow guides) that someone is coming to Lake Baikal, and primarily to Olkhon, with a lot of money in order to take over the tourist industry. Displace small tourism businesses, private carriers, and guides from the market. Taking into account the peculiarities of national business and the presence of Chinese players in the Baikal tourism market, the most interesting things are yet to come!

In the Olkhon district, local residents continue to discuss the emergency that happened in late July 2017. At the same time, regional authorities, through law enforcement agencies, are taking all measures to ensure that information does not spread.

Let us remind you that on July 29, the third ferry to Olkhon, Semyon Batagaev, was out of order. The breakdown occurred at the height of tourist season, as a result of which the queue to the island instantly grew to 700-800 cars.

Considering that the Dorozhnik ferry transports only local residents and Shuttle Buses, only the Olkhon Gate ferry remains for tourists. Tourists, stuck in line for several days, in the heat and without any service, naturally became nervous and tried by any means necessary to get on the ferry.

Antonina Sizikova, the daughter of the captain of the Olkhon Gate ferry, helped the sailors arrange their cars on the ferry. According to the rules of ferry transportation, cars are arranged first, and only then passengers on foot are allowed on board. These are obvious safety requirements.

However, the moment the cars began to load onto the ferry, a huge crowd of Chinese tourists, arriving on several buses, literally began to storm the ferry.

Let us remind you that Chinese hotels located on Olkhon, back in 2016, created a fairly convenient way to transport tourists from the Middle Kingdom. Large buses bring them to the mainland part of the crossing, tourists cross the strait on their own, and on Olkhon they are met by minibuses belonging to hotels. As a result, Chinese tourists practically do not linger at the crossing, since there are no restrictions on the number of foot passengers on the ferry.

The crowd of Chinese who poured onto the ferry actually blocked the passage of cars. Antonina Sizikova ordered not to let the Chinese in until all the cars were loaded. In response, one of the Chinese began to beat her with a stick, after which the other Chinese began to beat her with their fists.

The ferry captain, Sergei Sizikov, came down to help the girl. However, the Chinese beat him too.

The beating of the girl took place in front of a police patrol ensuring security on ferry crossing. Subsequently, when asked why they did not intervene in the fight, the police calmly replied that their task was to ensure order on the shore, and not on the ferry.

Immediately after the incident, Sergei Sizikov was fired without explanation. He worked on the ferry for 38 years, from the very first ferry designed for two cars, and is considered one of the most experienced captains on Lake Baikal.

All attempts by the Sizikov family to file a complaint with the police are blocked by the authorities. The family is also being intimidated by Chinese hotel owners who do not want publicity. The situation is completely incomprehensible, as are the actions of Chinese tourists on Lake Baikal in general.

The fact is that the Irkutsk region does not receive a penny from the influx of tourists to Olkhon. The hotels are owned by Chinese citizens and are designed like garden houses. Tourists pay for transportation, service and accommodation directly to the card of the hotel owner, thus the entire flow of money bypasses the Russian budget. Meanwhile, Chinese tourists feel like masters on Olkhon and regularly get into fights with local residents. By the way, the hotel charges about five million rubles from one group of Chinese. Not a penny is paid in taxes.

The situation is aggravated many times over by the fact that there is only one (!) local police officer on Olkhon. The island has an area of ​​730 square kilometers, a population of about two thousand people and hundreds of thousands of tourists a year.

“What is good for the Chinese is bad for Baikal” - under this slogan they held a rally in Irkutsk.

In recent years, Chinese business has been actively developing Lake Baikal. They are buying up land on the banks, building commercial facilities, and cutting down forests. In some places - for example, in Listvyanka or on Olkhon - there are no less (if not more) inscriptions in Chinese than in Russian....jpg" alt="8d861cea18b0ccf0504ca8927800fff0..jpg" alt="8b601aca972a22a875191110da08cb0d.jpg" />!}

Photo by Evgeniy Kravkl

Local officials favor guests. And the interethnic conflict, if not yet burning, is already clearly

But all this may be just the beginning of the “Chinese development” of the sacred lake. In March, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev signed an order to reduce the environmental protection zone of Lake Baikal by 10 times. Pandora's box is open. What now awaits Baikal, which is already seriously ill and suffering due to pollution, deforestation and development along the banks?

On May 22, concern for the fate of the great lake brought concerned residents of Irkutsk to a small rally near the Trud stadium. In the pouring rain, people shared their experiences... In addition to Irkutsk residents, residents of Listvyanka also came to the rally with stories about how the village is being taken over by Chinese construction, and those local residents who oppose it are being pressed..jpg" alt=" ..jpg" alt="492b01caef2b43e7051bfc0ee4906971.jpg" />!}

Photo

Defender of Lake Baikal, Irkutsk activist Olga Zhakova believes that it is not the Chinese who are to blame for the current situation, but Russian officials who meekly (and probably not disinterestedly) “surrender” the shores to them.

“In fact, now only our environmental prosecutor’s office is speaking in defense of Baikal, which constantly files lawsuits to “recapture” areas,- Olga told Activatika. - For example, she tried to stop the illegal construction of a Chinese hotel in Listvyanka. The district court won, but the regional court overturned this decision! Construction is being carried out in a barbaric manner, with blasting on the slopes. Listvyanka wastewater treatment plants cannot cope with the flow of new construction...

Another case in Listvyanka - the owner of a doll museum began to write complaintsfor a Chinese hotel being built next to the museum. So, in the end, the museum, which had existed for 20 years, was closed - it was allegedly operating illegally. And the owners were fined! But the construction of a hotel on a site not intended for this purpose turned out to be legal. They have such a scheme - first they build, and then they legitimize."

"Vesti Irkutsk" a month ago told about the scandal with the closure of the doll museum - but for some reason they kept silent about its possible background...


"The Chinese invested 18 billion rubles in mining in Buryatia, - Olga continues. - Now that the protective zone of Lake Baikal has been reduced, nothing will stop them from doing this. In addition, there are no obstacles to the development of the Kholodninskoye field, which former State Duma deputy Slipenchuk has long been lobbying for... Since the governor of Buryatia was replaced, the situation around Baikal has sharply worsened. I think that the governor of Buryatia Tsydenov and the minister are primarily responsible for what is happening natural resources RF Donskoy. True, Donskoy’s powers have now expired. Let's see what happens next."

In just three days, Baikal defenders collected several thousand signatures for the return of the lake’s protected zone to its previous boundaries.


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People coming to Irkutsk in the last few years have noted an influx of Chinese tourists. Lots of signs in Chinese, lots of sellers of souvenirs made of jade and amber and so on. And guests of the Angara region, including media persons, having wandered around the center of Irkutsk, having seen enough of the Chinese in Listvyanka and Olkhon, continue to carry the “good news” that Irkutsk has almost been captured by the Chinese.

At the same time, we ourselves understand that no one has captured us, that the signs in Chinese are nothing more than a marketing ploy, we see the Chinese mainly at construction sites and in the historical part of the city, and in general we try to treat this philosophically.

But for the reputation of Irkutsk and Baikal, stories from travelers, coupled with traditional fears, are, of course, more important.

However, a serious information wave today cannot be fueled by stories alone.

About deputies, media and real statistics


We are all accustomed to the fact that statistics are a crafty thing. We are also accustomed to the fact that politicians often lie. But when politicians begin to operate with statistical data, the degree of deceit begins to go off scale, so it is almost impossible to digest it without serious consequences for the psyche. Or is this no longer deceit?

At the beginning of 2018, former State Duma deputy, and now deputy of the Legislative Assembly of the Irkutsk Region, Anton Romanov, tells the online newspaper “Vzglyad” about the Chinese invasion of Olkhon:

“Last year we had 800 thousand tourists in the Olkhon region, the majority were Chinese. For comparison: the population of Irkutsk is 640 thousand. The budget of the Olkhonsky district is somewhere around 150 million rubles a year. That is, if the Chinese left at least 1 thousand rubles there, then in total there would be 800 million a year.”

We subtract from 800 million 150 million already available in the budget of the Olkhon region, convert to Chinese - and we get approximately 650,000 Chinese tourists who, according to Anton Vasilyevich, visited Olkhon in 2017. Where they came from, where such a crowd could physically fit on the island is completely unclear. But this does not stop Romanov from escalating.

His colleague, State Duma deputy Sergei Ten, in the program “Reflection” dedicated to the Chinese on the Public Television of Russia, as if by chance, casually adds fuel to the fire:

“The Chinese, by the way, predict that the number of tourists will increase annually to almost a million people. And this needs to be taken under very strict control.”

And it is precisely this statement of his that the Internet resource puts in the headline in the Internet version of the conversation. Sergei Yuryevich did not specify where he got such information from.

What do the popular media say about this, for example?

The portal irk.ru in an article dated June 22, 2017 (random magic of numbers or a well-thought-out media plan?) entitled “China is advancing on Baikal” writes:

“The Chinese began actively buying land and opening businesses in Listvyanka and the Olkhon region when, due to the favorable dollar exchange rate, there was a large flow of tourists from the PRC to Lake Baikal. Last year, 150 thousand visited the Irkutsk region - almost 60% more than in 2015. This season, Irkutsk airport is expected to increase by another 40–50%.”

The inexperienced reader will, of course, swallow the figure of 150,000 Chinese, although there is no reference in the text to the source of this information. Maybe it's an airport, maybe it's not. And, strictly speaking, there is no direct indication that all 150,000 are Chinese. Just read it! And what is very convenient: you can always say that some word just fell out or the employee was illiterate and did not know how to write.

The portal “Baikal-Info” in the article “The Chinese are buying up Irkutsk” decided not to bother searching for information at all, but to refer to abstract guides and give free rein to your imagination:

“According to Irkutsk guides, during the peak season the number of charter flights from China to Irkutsk reaches eighteen per week. Imagine: 18 flights, 160 people on each plane. Relatively speaking, about three thousand Chinese tourists arrive in Irkutsk every week. Plus, many transit groups stop in Irkutsk on their way to Moscow. It turns out that flying from Shanghai to Moscow with a stop in Irkutsk is much cheaper than flying directly. Why not take advantage?

But the funny thing is that it was Baikal-Info that turned out to be closest to a quantitative understanding of the tourist flow from China.

The Teleinform news agency helps to understand the real picture.

According to the deputy head of the department of permitting and visa work of the Department of Internal Affairs of the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the Irkutsk Region, Ekaterina Lazarchuk, in 2015 the number foreign tourists in the region was about 20.5 thousand, in 2016 - more than 39.5 thousand. And this is the total number, which takes into account everyone: Koreans, Germans, Japanese, Americans, and God knows who else. How many Chinese are there? And in 2016 there were only 26 thousand Chinese, or 66% of the total number of foreign tourists who visited the Angara region.

As they say, feel the difference: 1 million, 800 thousand, 150 thousand and 26 thousand.

To be fair, it must be said that the flow of Chinese is growing very quickly. According to data announced at a meeting of the tourism committee of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of the Irkutsk Region by the head of the visa processing department of the Regional Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia Elena Dynkina, in the first eight months of 2018, 132 thousand Chinese visited the Irkutsk region, which is 40% more than in 2017. m. But this figure is far from the million that Sergei Ten frightened. But can it really turn into a million?

Growth limits and risks for tourist flows from China

Despite the phenomenal growth rate of tourist flow from the Middle Kingdom, it obviously cannot grow indefinitely. This was discussed back in 2015, when the flow of tourists from China increased significantly for the first time - by as much as 30% compared to 2014. Then the CEO travel company“Baikal-Complex” Yuri Nemirovsky expressed the opinion that “the Chinese direction has almost reached the ceiling of possible growth and is now limited not by demand, but by a shortage of inexpensive accommodation facilities and places on charters.”

This is why the Chinese are trying to build in Listvyanka, this is why projects such as a large international resort in Baikalsk are appearing, and so on. And if we ourselves do not make very serious efforts to attract the Chinese to Baikal, they simply CANNOT COME TO US.

How seriously the tourism sector of the Irkutsk region is preparing to receive Chinese guests can be judged by the remark of Alexey Kalachev, an expert analyst at the Finam holding: “Negative changes are occurring in the business structure, says Alexey. - This trend also applies to tourism-related enterprises. As of January 1, 2017, there were 759 legal entities operating in the tourism sector in the region. At the same time, 73 new legal entities were registered and 75 were liquidated during the year. Dynamics - minus 0.26%. Hotels and restaurants: 1433 legal entities, 123 registered, 188 liquidated, dynamics - minus 4.75%.”

However, the tourist flow from China may dry up and not reach the maximum indicators if the ruble exchange rate against the yuan suddenly changes - and it will simply become unprofitable for the Chinese to vacation in Russia.

“I believe that there is no strategic process that can be formulated that we are being occupied by the Chinese,” says State Duma deputy Mikhail Shchapov. – There is economic feasibility, and at the moment Chinese tourism on Lake Baikal became profitable. The exchange rate difference, the enrichment of China, their standard of living there has increased greatly - and they have become interested in traveling around the world. Baikal is an interesting and accessible point for them.”

It turns out that the “arrogant Chinese” are simply trying to create the necessary infrastructure for a vacation on Lake Baikal for us, actually risking their money. Here are the occupiers!

“Doshirak”: just add Baikal

So who, and most importantly - why, is hanging “Doshirak” on our ears that the Chinese are about to drink up Baikal, trample down the entire forest and will not give us any life near the “North Sea” at all?

The peak of materials about the dominance of the Chinese on Lake Baikal occurred in 2017. At the same time, the famous petition appeared on the Internet to protect Baikal from the Chinese, which was signed by more than 100,000 people. And it was then that the Baikal Environmental Prosecutor’s Office was created. Which, in general, can be considered an ordinary coincidence, or it can not be considered. Sergei Ten on OTR, before revealing secret plans for Chinese expansion, spoke very flatteringly about this decision:

“The specifics are so complex, and so is environmental legislation, that we need to deal with this more professionally than law enforcement agencies are doing now. Therefore, I think that, firstly, this needs to be done so that the prosecutor’s office works more actively, more efficiently, namely the Baikal Environmental Prosecutor’s Office. I think this is absolutely the right decision."

Already in 2018, an active process of land acquisition began within the boundaries of the central ecological zone of the Baikal natural territory and the Baikal National Park. By April, 46 cases were being heard in the courts. Most of the law-abiding Russian citizens who came under attack from the law enforcement system were the owners of popular hotels on the coast of Lake Baikal.

However, the Chinese also got it, but in the second place. In April 2018, a criminal case was opened against the head of Listvyanka, Alexander Shamsudinov, on suspicion of exceeding his authority when issuing construction permits. And in August, there were demonstrative raids by bailiffs on Chinese hotel construction sites in the village, although someone managed to warn the Chinese. Therefore, it is not entirely clear how this story will end and whether the Chinese will be expelled from Listvyanka.

Afterword

Now, in my opinion, it is becoming obvious that all the hysteria about the Chinese invasion was a carefully planned action and media support for certain management decisions.

It is clear that if we take the development of tourism on Lake Baikal seriously, a million tourists a year is a small, but still a good figure, which we must strive for, subject to an increase potential places recreation of tourists, construction of roads, launch of wastewater treatment plants and so on. But for this you need to work very seriously and invest in Baikal, including state level. A corresponding attempt was made when a special economic zone of the tourist and recreational type “Gates of Baikal” was created. But this project stalled. In 2016, the government threatened to close down ineffective SEZs, but then simply transferred them to the regional level, where they apparently should have quietly died. This happened in the Irkutsk region. At the same time, the Federation seemed to have lost interest in the development of tourism on Lake Baikal.

It turned out not really. The state has taken the path of tightening regulation, effectively beginning the redistribution of property on Lake Baikal. And all the anti-Chinese hysteria, which began to gain momentum after 2016, is more like a cover operation.

If only because, despite all the hype around the “Chinese invasion,” any attempts to actually support at the legislative level the interests of Russia and the Russians in the dispute with the Chinese have so far ended in nothing. Which puzzled the same Mikhail Shchapov, who was working in the State Duma for the first time:

“We have all the competitive advantages in our territory to seize the initiative,– Mikhail Viktorovich shares his pain. – Here we just need to take a systematic approach, from the point of view of legislation, perhaps get ahead a little somewhere, for example, limit the activities of foreign uncertified guides and interpreters. This issue was raised at the Federation level, but apparently there is some kind of lobby there, because such an obvious thing did not pass. Or here's a very simple way. I personally made the following amendment regarding Crimea: let’s also take money from foreign tourists on Lake Baikal. This, I was told, is contrary to the Constitution, and it is impossible to distinguish between the rights of our citizen and a foreign citizen.”

Of course, such an approach, in which the state, while protecting its citizens in words, actually cuts the ground from under their feet, can hardly be called completely state-based. We will soon see how well it will justify itself. Well, those who fell under the wheel of bureaucratic fortune can only sympathize.

What about the Chinese? The situation with the nightmare of Chinese business, even through the media, and even more so through the courts in the absence of clear laws, does not add respect to the Russians in the eyes of the Chinese. And it definitely works against friendship and any alliance with the PRC. And this seems to hint at the political orientation of those who are launching this wave on Lake Baikal today.

In fact, we have no chance to tame Chinese dragon, if we do not learn to cope with the dragon within ourselves and within our country.

Artyom Svetovostokov

Irkutsk couloirs